Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 107.309227 123.529007 142.675848 167.309596 198.715764 238.222814 293.056583
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 83.432156 102.405204 127.162566 163.031433 215.931256 295.363602 433.821387
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 71.300047 91.034865 118.472489 161.528329 232.078109 353.970482 614.822917
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 63.831802 84.008444 113.492025 162.886698 251.558396 426.281375 890.882424
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 56.905196 76.470849 106.073646 158.068679 258.078506 477.247307 1187.569829
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 54.147035 74.587867 106.837649 166.907332 293.286499 614.530477 2048.208051
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 49.470741 69.112259 100.857563 162.078709 298.202142 679.855839 2864.305885
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 46.456530 65.896567 98.154708 162.823813 316.081633 800.658490 4786.649838
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 43.475160 62.405547 94.477428 160.811337 326.579538 909.653260 8054.766466
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 42.606879 62.294607 96.750271 171.663098 376.153261 1248.427569 32466.643548
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 42.725896 63.841244 102.261712 191.120501 463.441983 2014.651949 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 40.524397 61.105234 99.175113 189.618598 481.797761 2413.678948 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 38.305134 58.352439 96.133173 188.705290 507.092878 3065.737915 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.888099 55.075183 91.727615 183.604412 515.022733 3653.440903 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 34.029487 52.660493 88.803234 181.816036 536.881135 4713.609379 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.640084 50.995002 87.239816 183.432136 576.747007 6846.211844 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.827520 48.391666 83.383191 177.705070 577.403141 8211.259718 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 30.343368 48.274418 84.909738 188.222192 675.929039 19213.653382 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 28.802394 45.996620 81.379474 182.470707 675.444403 25194.252394 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 27.813115 44.731565 80.018109 183.357295 720.161270 52673.774825 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 26.702927 43.154149 77.784885 180.963459 741.793191 107267.514696 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 26.539551 43.447579 79.936473 193.900627 899.736723 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 26.829915 44.679519 84.505198 217.271584 1219.496323 NaN NaN